Fresh off his electoral victory on Friday, Nigel Farage’s party could be in for a landslide majority at the next General Election, a shock analysis of the numbers by GB News has revealed.
As a result, Sir Keir Starmer’s big beasts might soon be ousted by Reform candidates, leaving Labour totally derelict.
One of Reform’s greatest achievements on Friday was taking over what was once a Labour safe seat, winning the Runcorn and Helsby by-election by just six votes.
Thanks to data from Electoral Calculus founder and CEO Martin Baxter, GB News can reveal how Keir Starmer’s Cabinet might fare in 2029 using figures from the narrow Runcorn victory.
Angela Rayner, Rachel Reeves and Yvette Cooper would lose their seats to the populist party, according to the data
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Local elections 2025: change in council seats
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Labour ministers Jess Phillips, Dan Jarvis and Dame Diana Johnson would be at risk of losing their constituencies too.
However, those who have managed to dodge the ‘Reform revolution’ include Energy Secretary Ed Miliband, Foreign Secretary David Lammy and the Prime Minister himself.
Reform, nevertheless, is indiscriminate in its quest to conquer seats across the UK.
Kemi Badenoch has shrugged off the threat of Reform, dubbing it a ‘protest party’
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The Conservative Party would also be close to finished off, the same figures suggest.
All six Tory leadership candidates would be ousted from the Commons, as well as former Prime Minister Rishi Sunak.
In January, Farage warned the current Conservative leader to keep an eye on her constituency of North West Essex as he pledged to put up a fight in the true blue Tory heartland – which had been painted the classic blue hue for more than 100 years.
Badenoch has consistently shrugged off the threat of Reform, dubbing them no more as merely a “protest party” – a sentiment she echoed on Friday while she led the Conservatives into a historic electoral defeat.
Speaking in Peterborough on Friday, she took aim at Starmer instead, declaring that he was on track to be a “one-term Prime Minister” after he “made a mess of things”.
